{"id":17240,"date":"2025-03-28T12:15:22","date_gmt":"2025-03-28T04:15:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/monsterblockhk.com\/?p=17240"},"modified":"2026-05-04T08:44:20","modified_gmt":"2026-05-04T00:44:20","slug":"threads-kol-trap","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/monsterblockhk.com\/en\/threads-kol-trap\/","title":{"rendered":"7,000 to 1 Million Transactions Challenges Popular Threads, Breaking Down the 4 Critical Signals of the \"100% Guaranteed Profit\" KOL"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Recently a trading post appeared on Instagram in Hong Kong and sparked a conversation at an alarming rate. A user, identified as an insurance broker, openly documented how he attempted a challenge to roll up to HK$1 million in the trading market with a principal of HK$7,000. This in itself was eye-catching enough, but what was even more striking was that on only the 10th day of the challenge, he announced in a high profile that he was opening a paid group with a membership fee of HK$10,000 and a banner that almost defied market common sense - \"100% Guaranteed Profit\" - and he even promised to refund the membership fee if the follower loses money within three months. Even promised to refund the membership fee if the follower loses money within three months.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

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ICO, DeFi, NFT...\nWeb3 World's \"Getting Rich\" Narrative and FOMO Emotions<\/span><\/font><\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
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To us in the world of Crypto and Web3, this viral spreading speed and the strong temptation of \"low capital, high return\" in the story, does it not give us a sense of familiarity? Think back: from the early days of ICO mania, to the myth of DeFi's Liquidity Mining, which often boasts an APY of thousands or even tens of thousands, to the legendary story of a JPEG image rising a hundredfold from the Floor Price in the NFT world.... ... We have witnessed how countless information (whether true or false) has spread at the speed of light in Telegram groups, Discord channels, and Twitter, easily igniting the FOMO mood of the community. The narrative of pursuing 10x, 100x, or even higher returns is information that has been deeply imprinted in the DNA of Web3 explorers. Rapid iteration, explosion of information, high risk and high potential return - this is the daily life of our environment.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

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That's why this seeming case of the \"trading gods\" deserves to be scrutinized through Web3's \"magnifying glass\". It's not just a social media sensation, but the underlying maneuvers, publicity patterns, and mass reactions are strikingly similar to what we've encountered over and over again in the on-chain world.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

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This article will not only relay this story, but also analyze the underlying patterns from the perspective of a Crypto \/ Web3 content creator and participant - the \"danger signals\" and potential risk traps we need to be wary of when facing new projects, new tokens, and new \"Alpha Calls\". Through this vivid case study, let's sharpen our vision of recognizing real opportunities (Alpha) and potential scams (Scam), and learn how to walk more soberly and safely in the jungle of Web3, which is full of opportunities and traps.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

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Similar stories of riches are common in the Web3 world, where strong FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) sentiments are easily triggered by viral spreads.<\/u><\/b><\/span><\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

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Demystifying the \"Greatest Hits\": 4 Dangerous Signals under the Web3 Magnifier<\/span><\/font><\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
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I. 100% Guaranteed Profit<\/b>It's like unaudited, high APY, unsustainable Ponzi structures or projects with flawed token economic models. In a decentralized world, \"guarantees\" are often just empty words, and the promise itself is the biggest wake-up call of all. In a financial market where volatility is the norm and risk is everywhere (whether TradFi or DeFi), any form of \"100% Guaranteed Profit\" is highly suspect. It's like you're always at a new gain with an equal or higher risk. Remember the old adage: if a gain is too good to be true, it probably isn't.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

II. \"$10,000 membership fee on the 10th day<\/b>At the same time, this behavior does not make sense. The goal is a starry one (1 million), but the action is very \"pragmatic\" (charging on the 10th day). If his trading strategy was really so effective, he could have achieved his goal first and used real data to prove himself. In a decentralized world, we are taught to \"Don't trust, verify\". With this kind of unrealistic achievement, he can prove himself first, and then consider the realization of knowledge, which may be more convincing and can charge higher fees. The premature charging of fees makes people wonder about his real purpose - does he want to make everyone rich together, or is he eager to put his followers' money into his own pocket?<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/span><\/span>\"$10,000 on the 10th day.\"<\/b>It's also similar to some Web3 projects that rush to start a high threshold, high valuation Seed \/ Private Round when the product is not yet ready, the concept of the white paper is vague, and there is not even a usable test network. With a project based on a flashy white paper, they paint a grand blueprint for early investors and collect a large amount of capital, but whether the project can be successfully delivered and whether the tokens have any real value are huge unknowns. Under this model, the project owner first locks in its profits and working capital, leaving the biggest risk behind, and without even the most basic Testnet, it starts a highly valued Initial Coin Offering (ICO) or early stage Private Sale. Their roadmaps are all over the place, but the actual delivery is nowhere in sight. This is not uncommon in the Web3 world.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

iii. in respect of the \"Loss Refund Fee\".<\/b>This commitment sounds like an \"insurance policy\" for the participants and seems to reduce the risk. But upon closer examination, there are many loopholes. First of all, the refund is the \"membership fee\", not you follow the single operation of the loss of the principal. Its real purpose is to lead us to common wealth, or as soon as possible to followers of the funds locked into their own profits, to transfer the risk of subsequent failure? You may lose tens of thousands of dollars or even more in trading because of his advice, and in the end, you can only get back at most $10,000 in membership fees (if he will really refund them). Secondly, what is the definition of \"loss\"? How is the timeframe (3 months) accurately calculated? How can the follow-up operation be verified? This is just like some program providers verbally promising to \"Buyback & Burn\" to support the price of tokens and give confidence to the community when the price of tokens drops, but they never guarantee that you will be able to sell your tokens at the buyback price, let alone compensate you for the actual losses you have incurred.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

IV. The 'Transaction Record' He Shows on Threads<\/b>The records are not independently verified by a third party, either in the form of screenshots or textual descriptions. Are these records authentic? Is it possible that the \"trading history\" is not verifiable as Paper Trading? Are profitable trades selectively shown while losses are hidden (survivor bias)? In the absence of credible evidence, these records are highly unreliable. This also serves as a reminder that at Web3, we need to use blockchain browsers (e.g., Etherscan, BscScan) to check an address's real transaction history, asset holdings. On-chain Data Transparency, Openness, and Non-Tamperability We promote the transparency and non-tamperability of on-chain data. A project's user growth, transaction volume, and fund flow can be reviewed through a blockchain browser (e.g., Etherscan) or a data analytics platform (e.g., Dune Analytics, Nansen), and this data is an important basis for us to determine the trustworthiness of a project or an address.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

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Quick Summary:
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