{"id":23166,"date":"2025-10-11T11:33:38","date_gmt":"2025-10-11T03:33:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/monsterblockhk.com\/?p=23166"},"modified":"2026-05-04T08:34:58","modified_gmt":"2026-05-04T00:34:58","slug":"2025-red-october","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/monsterblockhk.com\/en\/2025-red-october\/","title":{"rendered":"1011 Black Swans Surprise the Currency Circle! Trump Raises Taxes on China 100%!"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Friday (October 10), U.S. President Donald Trump suddenly threatened to impose 100% tariffs on Chinese goods, triggering panic selling in global markets. The three major U.S. stock indexes fell sharply, the S&P 500 index fell about 2.7%, creating the biggest one-day drop since April; the Dow Jones index closed down 878 points (-1.9%), and the Nasdaq index fell more than 3.5%.<\/span><\/span><\/p>

Under the surge of risk aversion, the trend of U.S. bonds and the U.S. dollar reversed, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rate fell to 4.05%, a record low since September, the U.S. dollar index fell 0.4%. The price of traditional safe-haven assets, gold prices soared in a short period of time, and the spot gold once exceeded 4,000 U.S. dollars per ounce. Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency market suffered a flash crash, evaporating nearly US$125 billion in total market value within 24 hours, with mainstream currencies such as Bitcoin and Ether falling by 10% to 20%, and even more steeply in the case of torrents.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

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China's Rare Earth Controls and Trump's Tariff Threats<\/span><\/font><\/span><\/h2><\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
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The immediate trigger for this market shock was the escalation of a new round of trade friction between the U.S. and China. This week the Chinese government dramatically expanded its export controls on rare earth metals, adding five new rare earth elements and related technology and equipment to the restricted list and requiring foreign companies to obtain licenses to export products containing Chinese rare earths. Beijing's move is seen as a tactic to strengthen its bargaining chips ahead of a high-level U.S.-China meeting at the end of this month, as China controls more than 90 percent of the world's supply of processed rare earths, giving it strategic influence over the U.S. in the areas of cutting-edge technology and national defense industries.<\/span><\/span><\/p>

In response, President Trump immediately took to the social media platform to make a strong statement. He criticized China's new controls as a *malicious and hostile* move, accusing Beijing of trying to hold the global economy hostage. Trump announced that the U.S. would respond with severe retaliatory measures, and that the U.S. would impose an additional 1001 TP3T tariff on Chinese goods starting November 1 (or earlier).<\/span><\/span><\/p>

He also said the U.S. would impose export controls on all key software to counter China's actions. Trump worded his remarks strongly, saying there was no reason at this point to meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping in two weeks as originally planned. The remarks amounted to a threat to restart a trade war between the US and China, with tariffs approaching the levels that sparked fears of a global recession in April this year.<\/span><\/span><\/p>

Trump's tariff threat is like a thunderbolt from the ground, and investors are worried that the \"tit for tat\" conflict between the world's two largest economies will escalate again, triggering a new round of knock-on effects. Higher tariffs mean higher import costs, which could push up inflationary pressures in the U.S. and weaken corporate profits. At the same time, the import and export trade disruption will also impact the supply chain of industries such as technology, electric vehicles and military industries.<\/span><\/span><\/p>

Some analysts have pointed out that the Fed's original plan to cut rates further at its discretion could be put on hold if inflation returns to a higher level, with a tighter monetary environment expected to weigh on equities and crypto assets. Although Trump added to the media shortly after his statement that the meeting had not been officially canceled, suggesting that there was room for maneuver, his fickle demeanor has made it difficult for markets to take him lightly.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

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Key Observations: Summit Variables and the November Tariff Deadline<\/span><\/font><\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
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The next few weeks are seen as a critical window for determining the direction of the market.<\/b><\/span><\/span><\/p>

First, the high-level meeting between Trump and Xi Jinping scheduled for late October remains uncertain. The meeting will reportedly be held in Seoul, South Korea, before the APEC summit. If the summit is canceled due to recent disputes, financial markets could fall further reflecting the heightened geopolitical risk; conversely, if the two sides meet as scheduled and release signals of detente, it is expected that the storm will be calmed. Although Trump once threatened that \"there is no need to meet\" to cause tension, observers pointed out that Trump is known for his tough talk before the negotiations, and it remains to be seen whether he will eventually \"shrink the sand\".<\/span><\/span><\/p>

Second, November 1 became the tariff deadline that the market was watching closely. The 100% tariffs claimed by Trump will take effect from that date. If the U.S. White House or the Office of the U.S. Trade Representative (USTR) announces a specific list of tariffs and implements them before then, it would mean a formal escalation of the trade war between the U.S. and China. Not only will stocks likely remain under pressure, but global supply chains and commodity prices will be affected. In key areas such as technology and defense, the U.S. high reliance on China's rare earths will make it more difficult to find alternative supplies in the short term. On the other hand, if the U.S. fails to act on its tariff threat after early November, the storm could prove to be a false alarm, and tense market sentiment is expected to ease.<\/span><\/span><\/p>

It's worth noting that the U.S. and China previously agreed to a 90-day truce without escalating tariffs, and China's new rare-earth regulations will go into effect on Nov. 8, just before the end of the truce. This suggests that the game between Beijing and Washington has entered a back-and-forth stalemate, and that the actions of both sides in the coming weeks will directly determine whether tensions escalate further or take a turn for the worse.<\/span><\/span><\/p>

Market analysts point out that there is still room to maneuver before the policy actually hits the ground. Trump also hinted at leaving the Nov. 1 deadline open, saying, \"We still have to see what happens, so I'll leave it at Nov. 1\".<\/span><\/span><\/p>

There is a view that Trump's move is partly about pressuring China for political leverage in the negotiations, and the end result may be resolved through compromise in the negotiations. For example, Trump's tariff threats against other trading partners (such as Canada) earlier this year ended in negotiated concessions. Whether or not the two countries return to the negotiating table and what terms they will give up will be the major variables that will shape the market.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

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How will cryptocurrencies be affected? What should retail investors do?<\/span><\/font><\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
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The global stock market sell-off has also affected the cryptocurrency market, which is a high-risk asset. As risk aversion heats up, investors are scrambling to get out of their crypto positions, leading to an \u201cinstant crash\u201d type of decline in the market. The price of Bitcoin (BTC) fell by more than 10% in 24 hours, diving from around $117,000 to below the $110,000 mark during the day.<\/span><\/span><\/p>

Ether (ETH), the second largest currency, fell even deeper, plunging about 16%, losing the psychological price of $4,000. The top mainstream tokens in terms of market capitalization suffered heavy losses across the board: Ripple (XRP), Solana (SOL) and others fell 20% to 30%, while Dog (DOGE) and others plummeted nearly 30% at one point. Some of the small and medium-sized cottage coins were even cut in half a day in the panic selling, and their market capitalization went down in flames. For example, Cardano (ADA), Chainlink (LINK) and other popular coins fell by as much as 40% in a single day. In just a few hours, the total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies around the world shrank by about 4%, falling to around $4.05 trillion. This sharp decline in the crypto market has been compared to the \"crypto version of Black Friday\" by many industry insiders.<\/span><\/span><\/p>

Many traders attributed the market crash to two factors: first, Trump's new tariff news triggered panic selling in the market, and the collective selling of risky assets made cryptocurrencies a hard-hit area; second, a large number of leveraged long positions had been accumulated after the recent successive rise in the price of cryptocurrencies, and once a fall triggered the chain of mandatory liquidation of the positions, which further enlarged the decline. According to Coinglass, a derivatives data website, the amount of crypto market liquidation in the past day reached more than US$7 billion, and the estimation of some market monitoring organizations even reached US$9 billion. The forced liquidation of a large number of highly leveraged contracts has accelerated the depth and speed of the price decline.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

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Some traders lamented that the crash was like a repeat of the March 2020 outbreak, making it one of the top 3 most volatile events in crypto history. Panic indices soared to yearly highs, and many over-leveraged retail traders suffered heavy losses in the crash, with many experiencing an unprecedented baptism of fire. Despite the volatility, senior market participants emphasize that this is not the first time such a crash has occurred in the crypto market.<\/span><\/p>

Looking back at history, there was a one-day crash on March 12, 2020 and May 19, 2021, and the market gradually recovered after the subsequent panic.<\/span><\/p>

For experienced traders, the key is to survive and capitalize on the opportunities in a chaotic market!<\/b><\/span><\/p>

For ordinary retail investors in the currency circle, the current general view of the industry is that:<\/span><\/p>

1. Leverage control and strict risk control:<\/b><\/span>Do not take the risk of leveraging in a highly volatile market, otherwise it is very easy to get out of the position. Only if you are confident in your own risk control and have a good stop loss and take profit, you can try high volatility trading with a small position, and each contract position is recommended to be no more than 3%~5% of the total capital to control the risk. **Observe the information before operation:** In the face of a sudden plunge, you should first calmly observe the market, do not blindly panic cut meat. At the same time, it is important to track the source of news in a timely manner to determine whether the negative factors have really changed the market fundamentals, as well as the likelihood of the subsequent development of the event, and then decide on the corresponding operating strategy to avoid emotional trading.<\/span><\/p>

2. Focus on quality assets:<\/b>In times of market turmoil, capital tends to withdraw from speculative fan currencies in favor of mainstream currencies and hot track events with better fundamentals. Currencies such as Solana (SOL), BNB, Aster (ASTR) and OKB, which have been relatively strong recently (with ecological backing or significant benefits), are likely to outperform speculative tokens that are not backed by applications. Retail investors may want to focus on these market hotspots instead of indulging in high-risk gaming assets. Position on the low side but be cautious of chasing orders: Whenever there is a deep and sharp fall, it is often followed by a technical rebound.<\/span><\/p>

Experienced short-term traders will sometimes take advantage of the rebound after a panic and go long at low levels. However, it is important to note that this type of rebound is usually short-lived and should not be held for the long term. Once the price shows signs of rebound, you can considerAdopting a Trailing Stop strategy<\/b>The first thing you should do is to set your Stop Loss at the opening price or at a slightly profitable position, to ensure that even if the market goes down again, you won't increase your losses and turn your position into a risk-free one. In this way, there is the opportunity to capture the rebound gains, but also to avoid the market bottomed out twice suffered significant losses.<\/span><\/p>

3. Long-term deployment of the market in batches:<\/b>For long-term investors who are optimistic about high-quality items, the plunge provides a good opportunity to get to the bottom of the market at a discount. Many mainstream currencies have retreated as much as 20%-30% from their highs, making their valuations relatively more attractive.<\/span>Fixed Deposit (DCA) Approach to Buy Spot in Batches<\/b>The investment is not a one-off bet. On the one hand, if the price falls further in the future, you can have a bullet to add to your position to amortize the cost; on the other hand, fixed investment can help smooth out the risk of volatility and enhance the stability of your position. Historical experience has shown that when there is an extreme panic selling, rational capitalists who stick to the fundamentals are often able to reap the benefits of the subsequent recovery.<\/span><\/p>

Market sentiment is expected to remain volatile in the near term after this sharp shock. Looking ahead, investors need to pay close attention to the latest progress in US-China trade relations and the impact of the Fed's monetary policy on market liquidity. Until the dust settles, the best course of action is to remain cautious and rational. As one crypto fund manager put it: the current crash is brutal, but for those who are prepared, it may be the next round of opportunities. As long as you manage your risk and wait patiently for the market to stabilize, the turmoil may still bring opportunities for those who are good at learning and controlling risk.<\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

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If you've been a fan of the various cryptocurrency circuits, you've heard about RWA, AI Agent, Sui DeFi Ecology, Solana Ecology and so on, but have you heard about the recently popular Believe Ecology ($LAUNCHCOIN) and ICM (Internet Capital Markets) circuits?<\/b><\/span><\/span><\/p>

We recently posted thisWhat is ICM? 2025 Currency Circle Update and Believe's Complete Guide to Eco-Moneymaking<\/b><\/a><\/u><\/span><\/span>I'm going to share with you the circuits that have more potential for upward development in the current coin circle, if you are interested, you can take a look at them!<\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

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If you are still unsure after reading this, please join our\u00a0<\/span>Telegram Community<\/u><\/a>\u00a0<\/b>Ask questions and network together, there are many in-depth DeFi chain players, Web3 industry experts, and traders exchanging market forward-looking information with each other!<\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

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Disclaimer<\/b><\/span><\/font><\/p>\n

The content of this article is for reference only, investors should exercise independent judgment, invest prudently and at their own risk, this article does not provide or attempt to persuade the audience to do trading or investment basis, the content is for sharing purposes only, and should not be regarded as investment advice.<\/span><\/font>It does not represent the views and position of Monsterblockhk.<\/span>All information and opinions are current as of the date of the judgment. In addition, if a judgment is rendered on a<\/span><\/font>In this site<\/span>Any content related to virtual asset trading platforms that have not yet obtained a license to operate virtual asset trading platforms in Hong Kong, including but not limited to text introductions, pictures, offers, events, etc., are only available to users outside the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region.<\/span><\/p>\n

According to the Hong Kong Anti-Money Laundering and Counter-Terrorist Financing (Amendment) Ordinance 2022, after June 1, 2023, all centralized virtual asset trading platforms operating in Hong Kong or actively promoting their services to Hong Kong investors will be licensed and regulated by the SFC, and any related unlicensed activities will be a criminal offence. For more information and details of the legislation, users may refer to the SFC website.<\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

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