{"id":24404,"date":"2025-12-15T13:06:10","date_gmt":"2025-12-15T05:06:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/monsterblockhk.com\/?p=24404"},"modified":"2026-05-04T08:21:21","modified_gmt":"2026-05-04T00:21:21","slug":"polymarket-insider-guide","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/monsterblockhk.com\/en\/polymarket-insider-guide\/","title":{"rendered":"2026 Latest Polymarket Tutorial\uff5cHow to find out the insiders and realize the high win rate! How to do Chain Analysis?"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\"\"\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t

In the Polymarket prediction market, insider information often shapes the course of a bet. A Google team member is rumored to have made around $1 million in one day directly on the Polymarket with early leaks, and many users are becoming more and more interested in how to track these 'big players'!<\/span><\/span><\/p>

In this article, we will take the recent Lighter project of TGE as an example, and demonstrate step-by-step how to use various chaining tools to track the wallet connections of suspected insiders in Polymarket, and verify whether these big players have insider information or not!<\/span><\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

\n\t\t\t\t\t

Step 1: Lock the account and get the address on the chain<\/span><\/font><\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t

The first step is to start tracking a predictive market that may have insider behavior, and you can start by opening a market that interests you.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\"\"\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t
Image courtesy of @Andrey_10gwei<\/figcaption>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/figure>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t

On the Polymarket market page, after scrolling down to the 'Activity' section, it is recommended that you set some filters, such as a minimum bet size (e.g. $10 or $100), to filter out small orders and focus on users who are betting more. Next, you can look specifically at accounts that are betting large amounts of money on low odds options (e.g. 30% or lower).<\/span><\/span><\/p>

These options usually mean that the odds are high but the risk is also high, and if someone is betting a lot, they may have 'extra knowledge' of the outcome. Sometimes these dubious bets will be single large bets, or they may be a series of small bets placed at the same address in an attempt to stay out of sight.<\/span><\/span><\/p>

When you come across these accounts, it's a good idea to open a new page and look at their betting history. It's a time-consuming process, and you may even have to click through 10, 20, or even 50 wallets, but it's the first step in finding out what's going on.If it were that easy to find out what's going on inside, there wouldn't be so many alpha's on the market that would be missed!<\/b><\/span><\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t

After identifying these suspicious accounts, you can further compile a tracking list. When you open each of these accounts, there are a few key features you can look for. Were the accounts created recently? Are they focused on one or two markets? In fact, in order not to be too obvious, many people will deliberately place small bets on several unrelated markets to confuse the eye, but in fact the main capital is still pressed on a core market.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

You can also look at the way the bets are placed and how they are structured. If an account bets between $5,000 and $10,000 on the same option in a single bet, or if they repeatedly place multiple small bets (e.g., $50, $100, $500) on the same outcome, it's worthwhile to wonder if they're sure of the outcome behind the bets.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Once you've locked down a few suspect accounts, you can organize their Polymarket addresses, betting history, betting amounts, and so on, and throw them into a Google Sheet, so you'll have a good list to follow up on. This is where we get to the fun part.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\"\"\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t
Image courtesy of @Andrey_10gwei<\/figcaption>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/figure>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t

Of course, if there are specific clues like the recent Lighter case, we can directly pinpoint the accounts that made unusual bets. In this case, for example, a netizen found that two Polymarket accounts wagered a total of more than $125,000 on the $LIGHTER coin-opening related market, and the direction of wagering was highly consistent with the results that had not yet been announced by the official authorities at that time.<\/span><\/span><\/p>

These two accounts have bought heavily into the Yes option in the 'Lighter Next Day Market Cap' market, betting that Lighter will be able to issue the coins on time and reach a high level of market capitalization. If Lighter fails to coin by the end of 2025, the market will rule No and all Yes bets will be lost. Therefore, the only people who would dare to place such a bet would be insiders who have a good grasp of what's going on.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t

But these accounts are just the surface of Polymarket's identity.<\/span><\/span>We need to find out more about the real operator behind the Polymarket account.<\/span>What's really important is to find out which external wallet is linked behind them. Because the Polymarket account is actually controlled by a Gnosis Safe multi-signature contract address, we can use the Safe Wallet feature to look up its \"Signer\", which is the main wallet address that actually controls the account!<\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t

The method is simple:<\/span><\/p>

  1. open up https:\/\/safe.global\/app<\/b><\/a><\/u> Click \"Launch App\", enter and select \"Watch Any Account\".<\/span><\/span><\/li>
  2. Paste the address of the Gnosis Safe Proxy you just copied from Polymarket.<\/span><\/span><\/li>
  3. Then select the appropriate link and click \"Next\" to go to the account information page.<\/span><\/span><\/li><\/ol>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
    \n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t
    \n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\"\"\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t
    Image courtesy of @Andrey_10gwei<\/figcaption>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/figure>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t
    \n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t

    On the right hand side, the signer field of the Safe (usually \"Signer 1\") is displayed, and this address is the real external wallet that controls the Polymarket account, which is the address that analytics tools like Arkham will later extend their lookups from. So you can record this Signer address and put it in your Google Sheet, so that you can start tracing the chain from there!<\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

    \n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t

    Finally, we found the result:<\/span><\/span><\/p>